⚽ Liverpool vs Fulham
· 11. April 2026 16:30
✅ Lineup bekreftet
Forventet total
11.4
Mode 11 · Median None
Liverpool μ
7.41
basis 5.869 · adj ×1.08
Fulham μ
4.03
basis 4.806 · adj ×0.971
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
Laster odds...
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — | 12.3% | 8.16 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — | 30.1% | 3.33 | — | — |
| 10.5 | 58.7% | 1.7 | — | — | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| 11.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
PREDIKSJON + ODDS LOGG (1 opptak — prediksjon og odds hentet på samme tidspunkt)
| Tidspunkt | Total μ | H μ | B μ | Mode | Lineup | Beste EV (snapshot) | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 18:46 ← siste | 11.4 | 7.41 | 4.03 | 11 | ⏳ | — (ingen odds) | — |
Odds ble hentet fra Pinnacle på nøyaktig samme tidspunkt som prediksjonen. Backtest bruker siste rad.
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 6.3 | 4.25 | 1.139 | 0.891 | 2, 7, 4, 2, 6, 6, 8, 8, 0, 9, 11, 7, 5, 11, 2, 10, 11, 3, 8, 6 |
| Fulham | 4.6 | 6.05 | 0.933 | 1.109 | 2, 7, 6, 4, 1, 4, 3, 3, 2, 3, 6, 7, 6, 4, 4, 5, 6, 4, 6, 9 |
μ hjemme = 7.41
(inkl. lineup-adj ×1.08)
μ borte = 4.03
(inkl. lineup-adj ×0.971)
STARTOPPSTILLINGER
✅ Bekreftet
Liverpool
Virgil van Dijk
N/A
Ibrahima Konaté
N/A
Florian Wirtz
N/A
Dominik Szoboszlai
N/A
Mohamed Salah
N/A
Curtis Jones
N/A
Cody Gakpo
N/A
Giorgi Mamardashvili
N/A
Andrew Robertson
N/A
Jeremie Frimpong
N/A
Rio Ngumoha
N/A
Fulham
Bernd Leno
N/A
Calvin Bassey
N/A
Joachim Andersen
N/A
Harry Wilson
N/A
Rodrigo Muniz
N/A
Oscar Bobb
N/A
Sander Berge
N/A
Alex Iwobi
N/A
Timothy Castagne
N/A
Josh King
N/A
Antonee Robinson
N/A