📈 Backtest — Prediksjoner vs Pinnacle
Kamper
4 FT
MAE
3.82
corners per kamp
Snitt pred / faktisk
10.29 / 10.0
Total P&L
-2.56u
beste EV-bet per kamp
Kalibrering per linje
Pinnacle-odds brukt for P&L
| Linje | N | Modell avg P(over) | Faktisk over-rate | Bias | Treff-rate | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 9.5 | 4 | 56.2% | 50.0% | +6.2% | 50.0% | -0.21u | -5.2% |
| O/U 10.5 | 4 | 45.3% | 25.0% | +20.3% | 25.0% | -2.35u | -58.8% |
Kamp-for-kamp
| Status | Kamp | Pred μ | Faktisk | Feil | Beste bet | EV | P&L | Lineup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT |
Crystal Palace – Newcastle United
2026-04-12 12:27
|
12.02 | 6 | +6.0 | OVER 10.5 @ 2.23 | +45.2% | -1.00u | ✓ |
| FT |
Nottingham Forest – Aston Villa
2026-04-12 12:27
|
10.82 | 10 | +0.8 | OVER 9.5 @ 1.75 | +10.8% | +0.75u | ✓ |
| FT |
Sunderland – Tottenham Hotspur
2026-04-12 12:27
|
9.39 | 8 | +1.4 | UNDER 9.5 @ 2.04 | +10.6% | +1.04u | ✓ |
| FT |
Chelsea – Manchester City
2026-04-12 09:05
|
8.93 | 16 | -7.1 | UNDER 9.5 @ 2.03 | +21.1% | -1.00u | – |