⚽ Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United
· 12. April 2026 13:00
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
10.4
Mode 10 · Median 10
Crystal Palace μ
5.14
basis 4.745 · adj ×1.0
Newcastle United μ
5.21
basis 6.432 · adj ×1.0
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
● Pinnacle · EV = modell × odds − 1
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 57.6% | 1.73 | 1.65 | -4.9% | 42.4% | 2.36 | 2.21 | -6.4% |
| 10.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | 2.03 | -7.0% | 54.2% | 1.85 | 1.78 | -3.6% |
| 11.5 | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
PREDIKSJONSLOGG (4 genereringer)
| Tidspunkt | Total μ | Hjemme μ | Borte μ | Mode | Lineup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 17:57 | 10.4 | 5.14 | 5.21 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
| 2026-04-11 17:57 | 10.4 | 5.14 | 5.21 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
| 2026-04-11 17:44 | 10.4 | 5.14 | 5.21 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
| 2026-04-11 17:34 | 10.4 | 5.14 | 5.21 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 4.5 | 4.25 | 0.921 | 0.891 | 4, 6, 3, 6, 4, 4, 4, 3, 4, 2, 5, 3, 6, 6, 3, 4, 4, 7, 4, 8 |
| Newcastle United | 7.2 | 5.1 | 1.248 | 0.994 | 8, 4, 4, 6, 2, 5, 7, 11, 9, 6, 6, 11, 4, 8, 8, 7, 6, 11, 9, 12 |
μ hjemme = 5.14
μ borte = 5.21
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Crystal Palace
Dean Henderson
0.03
Daniel Muñoz
0.96
Adam Wharton
1.17
Maxence Lacroix
0.51
Tyrick Mitchell
0.59
Evann Guessand
0.83
Chris Richards
0.37
Jørgen Strand Larsen
0.96
Daichi Kamada
0.91
Jefferson Lerma
0.90
Ismaïla Sarr
1.25
Newcastle United
Anthony Gordon
1.79
Harvey Barnes
1.84
Malick Thiaw
0.61
Anthony Elanga
1.12
Joe Willock
1.26
Bruno Guimarães
1.51
Jacob Ramsey
1.15
Dan Burn
0.27
Nick Pope
0.03
Kieran Trippier
0.82
Sven Botman
0.53