⚽ Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United
· 12. April 2026 13:00
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
10.4
Mode 10 · Median 10
Crystal Palace μ
5.11
basis 4.745 · adj ×1
Newcastle United μ
5.31
basis 6.432 · adj ×1
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
● Pinnacle · EV = modell × odds − 1
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | 1.65 | -3.4% | 41.4% | 2.41 | 2.21 | -8.5% |
| 10.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | 2.03 | -5.1% | 53.3% | 1.88 | 1.78 | -5.2% |
| 11.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
PREDIKSJONSLOGG (7 genereringer)
| Tidspunkt | Total μ | Hjemme μ | Borte μ | Mode | Lineup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 19:44 | 10.4 | 5.11 | 5.31 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
| 2026-04-11 18:46 | 10.4 | 5.14 | 5.21 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
| 2026-04-11 18:46 | 10.4 | 5.14 | 5.21 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
| 2026-04-11 18:46 | 10.4 | 5.14 | 5.21 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
| 2026-04-11 18:46 | 10.4 | 5.14 | 5.21 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
| 2026-04-11 18:46 | 10.4 | 5.14 | 5.21 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
| 2026-04-11 18:20 | 10.4 | 5.14 | 5.21 | 10 | ⏳ Projected |
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 4.5 | 4.4 | 0.921 | 0.909 | 4, 4, 4, 3, 4, 2, 5, 3, 6, 6, 3, 4, 4, 7, 4, 8, 7, 1, 3, 8 |
| Newcastle United | 7.2 | 5.05 | 1.248 | 0.988 | 5, 7, 11, 9, 6, 6, 11, 4, 8, 8, 7, 6, 11, 9, 12, 5, 7, 2, 1, 9 |
μ hjemme = 5.11
μ borte = 5.31
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Crystal Palace
Jørgen Strand Larsen
0.96
Adam Wharton
1.17
Daichi Kamada
0.91
Jefferson Lerma
0.90
Ismaïla Sarr
1.25
Maxence Lacroix
0.51
Tyrick Mitchell
0.59
Daniel Muñoz
0.96
Dean Henderson
0.03
Chris Richards
0.37
Evann Guessand
0.83
Newcastle United
Anthony Elanga
1.12
Jacob Ramsey
1.15
Joe Willock
1.26
Sven Botman
0.53
Anthony Gordon
1.79
Harvey Barnes
1.84
Malick Thiaw
0.61
Dan Burn
0.27
Bruno Guimarães
1.51
Kieran Trippier
0.82
Nick Pope
0.03