⚽ Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea
· 21. April 2026 19:00
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
9.9
Mode 9 · Median 10
Brighton & Hove Albion μ
4.58
basis 4.775 · adj ×1
Chelsea μ
5.32
basis 5.745 · adj ×1
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
Laster odds...
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| 10.5 | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| 11.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 21.3% | 4.7 | — | — | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 4.55 | 5.3 | 0.927 | 1.018 | 7, 2, 5, 10, 2, 3, 2, 5, 4, 2, 11, 6, 5, 3, 5, 4, 4, 4, 3, 4 |
| Chelsea | 6.1 | 4.15 | 1.115 | 0.878 | 9, 3, 2, 0, 4, 4, 6, 12, 2, 11, 3, 5, 9, 4, 4, 9, 10, 8, 8, 9 |
μ hjemme = 4.58
μ borte = 5.32
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Brighton & Hove Albion
Joël Veltman
0.40
Diego Gómez
1.27
Danny Welbeck
1.52
Jan Paul van Hecke
0.53
Jack Hinshelwood
1.31
Kaoru Mitoma
1.52
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
0.68
Pascal Groß
1.40
Bart Verbruggen
0.05
Lewis Dunk
0.49
Carlos Baleba
0.66
Chelsea
Josh Acheampong
0.42
Malo Gusto
0.80
Moisés Caicedo
0.78
Trevoh Chalobah
0.39
João Pedro
1.77
Andrey Santos
0.72
Cole Palmer
1.99
Enzo Fernández
1.94
Robert Sánchez
0.14
Marc Cucurella
1.02
Estêvão
2.44