⚽ Burnley vs Manchester City
· 22. April 2026 19:00
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
9.3
Mode 9 · Median 9
Burnley μ
3.89
basis 4.463 · adj ×1
Manchester City μ
5.36
basis 5.526 · adj ×1
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
Laster odds...
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — | 32.2% | 3.1 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| 10.5 | 33.3% | 3.0 | — | — | 66.7% | 1.5 | — | — |
| 11.5 | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 16.6% | 6.02 | — | — | 83.4% | 1.2 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 4.05 | 5.7 | 0.866 | 1.067 | 1, 6, 3, 9, 10, 3, 6, 3, 4, 2, 1, 1, 2, 5, 2, 5, 4, 3, 5, 6 |
| Manchester City | 5.75 | 3.5 | 1.073 | 0.800 | 7, 9, 8, 2, 6, 2, 6, 5, 5, 8, 6, 6, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 3, 6, 15 |
μ hjemme = 3.89
μ borte = 5.36
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Burnley
Lesley Ugochukwu
1.00
Maxime Estève
0.29
Joe Worrall
0.11
Hannibal
1.00
Zian Flemming
1.68
Bashir Humphreys
0.47
Jaidon Anthony
1.57
Marcus Edwards
1.89
Martin Dúbravka
0.01
Kyle Walker
0.25
Josh Laurent
0.70
Manchester City
Rayan Aït-Nouri
0.86
Matheus Nunes
0.61
Gianluigi Donnarumma
0.04
Nico O'Reilly
1.00
Rodri
1.32
Bernardo Silva
1.07
Antoine Semenyo
1.73
Phil Foden
2.31
Rúben Dias
0.44
Erling Haaland
2.35
Marc Guéhi
0.77