⚽ Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest
· 24. April 2026 19:00
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
9.7
Mode 9 · Median 9
Sunderland μ
4.52
basis 4.276 · adj ×1
Nottingham Forest μ
5.18
basis 5.369 · adj ×1
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
Laster odds...
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — | 27.1% | 3.68 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — | 38.5% | 2.6 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| 10.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| 11.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 3.75 | 5.65 | 0.830 | 1.060 | 4, 6, 3, 5, 3, 4, 3, 3, 5, 4, 3, 3, 1, 2, 3, 6, 3, 2, 7, 5 |
| Nottingham Forest | 5.5 | 4.9 | 1.042 | 0.970 | 6, 9, 9, 3, 3, 5, 5, 9, 4, 5, 4, 5, 5, 10, 8, 7, 4, 1, 5, 3 |
μ hjemme = 4.52
μ borte = 5.18
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Sunderland
Omar Alderete
0.53
Reinildo Mandava
1.00
Nordi Mukiele
0.72
Habib Diarra
0.80
Noah Sadiki
0.45
Robin Roefs
0.08
Enzo Le Fée
1.10
Nilson Angulo
0.82
Brian Brobbey
1.12
Trai Hume
0.76
Dan Ballard
0.83
Nottingham Forest
Omari Hutchinson
1.69
Igor Jesus
1.56
John Victor
0.03
Douglas Luiz
1.44
Morgan Gibbs-White
1.76
Elliot Anderson
1.32
Callum Hudson-Odoi
1.65
Murillo
0.42
Neco Williams
1.09
Nicolò Savona
0.48
Nikola Milenković
0.27