⚽ Manchester United vs Leeds United
· 13. April 2026 19:00
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
9.6
Mode 9 · Median 9
Manchester United μ
5.42
basis 5.057 · adj ×1
Leeds United μ
4.21
basis 4.838 · adj ×1
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
● Pinnacle · EV = modell × odds − 1
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | 1.76 | -14.3% | 51.3% | 1.95 | 2.05 | +5.1% |
| 10.5 | 37.4% | 2.67 | 2.22 | -17.0% | 62.6% | 1.6 | 1.65 | +3.3% |
| 11.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 19.2% | 5.2 | — | — | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 5.0 | 4.8 | 0.982 | 0.957 | 9, 4, 6, 9, 5, 5, 2, 8, 4, 6, 1, 2, 3, 7, 3, 1, 7, 4, 6, 8 |
| Leeds United | 4.65 | 5.0 | 0.939 | 0.982 | 3, 1, 4, 5, 3, 9, 9, 3, 6, 4, 7, 4, 4, 5, 1, 2, 5, 9, 3, 6 |
μ hjemme = 5.42
μ borte = 4.21
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Manchester United
Diogo Dalot
0.98
Harry Maguire
0.47
Lisandro Martínez
0.47
Bruno Fernandes
3.07
Matheus Cunha
2.10
Amad Diallo
1.00
Casemiro
1.44
Bryan Mbeumo
1.96
Luke Shaw
0.34
Senne Lammens
0.02
Kobbie Mainoo
1.00
Leeds United
Jayden Bogle
0.60
Gabriel Gudmundsson
0.68
Ethan Ampadu
0.65
Pascal Struijk
0.66
Joe Rodon
0.37
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
1.59
Brenden Aaronson
1.46
Anton Stach
2.06
James Justin
0.96
Karl Darlow
0.01
Ilia Gruev
0.58