⚽ Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
· 12. April 2026 13:00
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
10.0
Mode 9 · Median 10
Nottingham Forest μ
5.36
basis 5.369 · adj ×1
Aston Villa μ
4.65
basis 5.276 · adj ×1
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
● Pinnacle · EV = modell × odds − 1
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — | 23.8% | 4.19 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | 1.73 | -7.5% | 46.6% | 2.15 | 2.1 | -2.2% |
| 10.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | 2.12 | -11.4% | 58.2% | 1.72 | 1.71 | -0.4% |
| 11.5 | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 22.2% | 4.5 | — | — | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
PREDIKSJONSLOGG (2 genereringer)
| Tidspunkt | Total μ | Hjemme μ | Borte μ | Mode | Lineup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 19:46 | 10.0 | 5.36 | 4.65 | 9 | ⏳ Projected |
| 2026-04-11 19:02 | 10.1 | 5.56 | 4.56 | 9 | ⏳ Projected |
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 5.5 | 4.9 | 1.042 | 0.970 | 6, 9, 9, 3, 3, 5, 5, 9, 4, 5, 4, 5, 5, 10, 8, 7, 4, 1, 5, 3 |
| Aston Villa | 5.35 | 4.45 | 1.024 | 0.915 | 3, 7, 6, 3, 3, 5, 7, 3, 4, 5, 6, 5, 12, 4, 7, 7, 5, 3, 6, 6 |
μ hjemme = 5.36
μ borte = 4.65
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Nottingham Forest
Omari Hutchinson
1.69
Igor Jesus
1.56
John Victor
0.03
Douglas Luiz
1.44
Morgan Gibbs-White
1.76
Elliot Anderson
1.32
Callum Hudson-Odoi
1.65
Murillo
0.42
Neco Williams
1.09
Nicolò Savona
0.48
Nikola Milenković
0.27
Aston Villa
Douglas Luiz
1.44
Ian Maatsen
1.24
Matty Cash
0.93
Ollie Watkins
1.52
Emiliano Buendía
1.86
Tyrone Mings
0.57
Ezri Konsa
1.00
Emiliano Martínez
0.04
Amadou Onana
0.61
Morgan Rogers
1.79
Leon Bailey
1.92