⚽ Chelsea vs Manchester United
· 18. April 2026 19:00
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
10.0
Mode 9 · Median 10
Chelsea μ
6.00
basis 5.745 · adj ×1
Manchester United μ
4.04
basis 5.057 · adj ×1
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
Laster odds...
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — | 23.6% | 4.25 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| 10.5 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| 11.5 | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 6.1 | 4.15 | 1.115 | 0.878 | 9, 3, 2, 0, 4, 4, 6, 12, 2, 11, 3, 5, 9, 4, 4, 9, 10, 8, 8, 9 |
| Manchester United | 5.0 | 4.8 | 0.982 | 0.957 | 9, 4, 6, 9, 5, 5, 2, 8, 4, 6, 1, 2, 3, 7, 3, 1, 7, 4, 6, 8 |
μ hjemme = 6.0
μ borte = 4.04
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Chelsea
Josh Acheampong
0.42
Malo Gusto
0.80
Moisés Caicedo
0.78
Trevoh Chalobah
0.39
João Pedro
1.77
Andrey Santos
0.72
Cole Palmer
1.99
Enzo Fernández
1.94
Robert Sánchez
0.14
Marc Cucurella
1.02
Estêvão
2.44
Manchester United
Diogo Dalot
0.98
Harry Maguire
0.47
Lisandro Martínez
0.47
Bruno Fernandes
3.07
Matheus Cunha
2.10
Amad Diallo
1.00
Casemiro
1.44
Bryan Mbeumo
1.96
Luke Shaw
0.34
Senne Lammens
0.02
Kobbie Mainoo
1.00