⚽ Manchester City vs Arsenal
· 19. April 2026 15:30
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
8.7
Mode 8 · Median 8
Manchester City μ
4.71
basis 5.526 · adj ×1
Arsenal μ
3.95
basis 5.432 · adj ×1
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
Laster odds...
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| 10.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| 11.5 | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 13.1% | 7.64 | — | — | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 5.75 | 3.5 | 1.073 | 0.800 | 7, 9, 8, 2, 6, 2, 6, 5, 5, 8, 6, 6, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 3, 6, 15 |
| Arsenal | 5.6 | 3.35 | 1.054 | 0.781 | 3, 4, 3, 8, 3, 7, 3, 5, 3, 9, 9, 12, 5, 4, 3, 5, 5, 3, 8, 10 |
μ hjemme = 4.71
μ borte = 3.95
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Manchester City
Rayan Aït-Nouri
0.86
Matheus Nunes
0.61
Gianluigi Donnarumma
0.04
Nico O'Reilly
1.00
Rodri
1.32
Bernardo Silva
1.07
Antoine Semenyo
1.73
Phil Foden
2.31
Rúben Dias
0.44
Erling Haaland
2.35
Marc Guéhi
0.77
Arsenal
Noni Madueke
1.72
Kai Havertz
1.46
Martín Zubimendi
0.74
Declan Rice
1.59
Myles Lewis-Skelly
0.62
Gabriel Magalhães
1.00
William Saliba
0.31
David Raya
0.07
Gabriel Martinelli
1.96
Ben White
1.14
Viktor Gyökeres
1.40