⚽ Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth
· 18. April 2026 14:00
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
12.5
Mode 12 · Median 12
Newcastle United μ
7.82
basis 6.432 · adj ×1
AFC Bournemouth μ
4.68
basis 5.213 · adj ×1
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
Laster odds...
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — | 7.3% | 13.6 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — | 13.0% | 7.72 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
| 10.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| 11.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 7.2 | 5.05 | 1.248 | 0.988 | 5, 7, 11, 9, 6, 6, 11, 4, 8, 8, 7, 6, 11, 9, 12, 5, 7, 2, 1, 9 |
| AFC Bournemouth | 5.25 | 6.1 | 1.012 | 1.115 | 3, 1, 5, 4, 5, 15, 3, 7, 3, 6, 3, 6, 11, 2, 5, 7, 4, 8, 6, 1 |
μ hjemme = 7.82
μ borte = 4.68
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Newcastle United
Anthony Elanga
1.12
Jacob Ramsey
1.15
Joe Willock
1.26
Sven Botman
0.53
Anthony Gordon
1.79
Harvey Barnes
1.84
Malick Thiaw
0.61
Dan Burn
0.27
Bruno Guimarães
1.51
Kieran Trippier
0.82
Nick Pope
0.03
AFC Bournemouth
Marcos Senesi
0.62
Adrien Truffert
0.61
Djordje Petrovic
0.01
Alex Scott
1.11
Evanilson
1.68
Ryan Christie
1.90
James Hill
0.50
Eli Kroupi
1.00
Álex Jiménez
1.00
Marcus Tavernier
1.91
Rayan
1.76