⚽ Arsenal vs Newcastle United
· 25. April 2026 16:30
⏳ Lineup ikke bekreftet
Forventet total
10.4
Mode 10 · Median 10
Arsenal μ
5.85
basis 5.432 · adj ×1
Newcastle United μ
4.57
basis 6.432 · adj ×1
Historisk n
20 / 20
kamper (hjemme/borte)
SANNSYNLIGHETSFORDELING — TOTALE CORNERS
OVER / UNDER
Laster odds...
| Linje | P(over) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV over | P(under) | Fair | Pinnacle | EV under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — | 19.8% | 5.04 | — | — |
| 8.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — | 30.0% | 3.34 | — | — |
| 9.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| 10.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| 11.5 | 35.5% | 2.81 | — | — | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| 12.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
Dixon-Coles model · NegBin(α=7) · μ = liga_avg × attack_rate(lag) × defense_rate(motstander) · lineup±20%
HISTORISK CORNERPROFIL
| Lag | Scorer/kamp | Sluppet/kamp | Attack rate | Defense rate | Siste scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 5.6 | 3.35 | 1.054 | 0.781 | 3, 4, 3, 8, 3, 7, 3, 5, 3, 9, 9, 12, 5, 4, 3, 5, 5, 3, 8, 10 |
| Newcastle United | 7.2 | 5.05 | 1.248 | 0.988 | 5, 7, 11, 9, 6, 6, 11, 4, 8, 8, 7, 6, 11, 9, 12, 5, 7, 2, 1, 9 |
μ hjemme = 5.85
μ borte = 4.57
FORVENTET STARTOPPSTILLING
⏳ Basert på siste kamp
Arsenal
Noni Madueke
1.72
Kai Havertz
1.46
Martín Zubimendi
0.74
Declan Rice
1.59
Myles Lewis-Skelly
0.62
Gabriel Magalhães
1.00
William Saliba
0.31
David Raya
0.07
Gabriel Martinelli
1.96
Ben White
1.14
Viktor Gyökeres
1.40
Newcastle United
Anthony Elanga
1.12
Jacob Ramsey
1.15
Joe Willock
1.26
Sven Botman
0.53
Anthony Gordon
1.79
Harvey Barnes
1.84
Malick Thiaw
0.61
Dan Burn
0.27
Bruno Guimarães
1.51
Kieran Trippier
0.82
Nick Pope
0.03