📈 Eliteserien — Backtest

Entry-låste +EV-bets · push-aware settlement · CLV mot Pinnacle-closing (PIN) → konsensus (KONS) → soft. Ekte CLV krever at linja beveget seg; SPREAD-merkede bets har kun ett snapshot (beste pris vs. konsensus) og er utelatt fra CLV-snittet. Marked-EV = skarp no-vig × odds − 1 (odds-gap vs fair). Modell-EV = modellens egen sjanse × odds − 1 (reell sannsynlighet). Resultater auto-oppdateres.
🔄 Oppdater
Bets (avgjort)
91 +6 åpne
100 logget · 3 push
Win rate
30%
27/91
Total P&L
-22.87u
flat innsats
ROI
-25.1%
per bet
Ekte CLV (linjebevegelse)
-2.14%
22% slo close (9 m/bevegelse · 91 kun spread)
Kalibrering per linje (totaler)
LinjeNTreff-rateP&LROI
O/U 6.5 2 0% -2.00u -100%
O/U 8.5 3 0% -3.00u -100%
O/U 9.5 8 25% -3.90u -49%
O/U 10.0 4 50% -0.68u -17%
O/U 10.5 15 40% -3.59u -24%
O/U 11.0 7 14% -4.92u -70%
O/U 11.5 13 15% -9.07u -70%
O/U 12.0 6 50% +2.30u +38%
O/U 12.5 12 25% -4.58u -38%
O/U 13.5 16 31% +0.42u +3%
O/U 14.5 4 75% +7.15u +179%
Bet-for-bet
DatoKampBetEntry ClosingCLV Marked-EVModell-EVFaktisk ResultatP&L
08-16
åpen
 Sarpsborg 08 – Sandefjord Totalt: OVER 13.5
Marathonbet · modell 32% · marked 26%
3.88 — -5.0% KONS +0% +25% — ⏳ —
08-16
åpen
 Fredrikstad – Kristiansund Totalt: OVER 11.5
Marathonbet · modell 30% · marked 39%
2.59 — -0.5% PIN +2% -22% — ⏳ —
08-15
åpen
 KFUM – Lillestrøm Totalt: OVER 13.5
Marathonbet · modell 14% · marked 22%
4.65 — -4.1% KONS +2% -34% — ⏳ —
08-15
åpen
 KFUM – Lillestrøm Totalt: UNDER 8.5
Unibet · modell 46% · marked 34%
3.05 — +2.2% SPREAD +2% +39% — ⏳ —
08-15
åpen
 KFUM – Lillestrøm Totalt: UNDER 11.5
Unibet · modell 74% · marked 66%
1.54 — +1.3% SPREAD +1% +13% — ⏳ —
08-15
åpen
 KFUM – Lillestrøm Totalt: OVER 10.0
1xbet · modell 35% · marked 48%
1.91 — +0.6% SPREAD +1% -24% — ⏳ —
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: OVER 14.5
Marathonbet · modell 21% · marked 22%
4.70 — -6.5% KONS +4% -3% 15
9/6
 ✓ +3.70u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: OVER 12.0
1xbet · modell 37% · marked 36%
2.78 — +11.2% SPREAD +10% +11% 15
9/6
 ✓ +1.78u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: OVER 11.5
1xbet · modell 46% · marked 47%
2.32 — +8.7% SPREAD +9% +7% 15
9/6
 ✓ +1.32u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: UNDER 8.5
Marathonbet · modell 24% · marked 25%
4.15 — +8.6% KONS +2% -2% 15
9/6
 ✗ -1.00u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: OVER 12.5
1xbet · modell 37% · marked 36%
3.08 — +10.8% SPREAD +11% +13% 15
9/6
 ✓ +2.08u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: UNDER 10.5
Unibet · modell 43% · marked 48%
2.10 — -10.0% PIN +1% -9% 15
9/6
 ✗ -1.00u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: OVER 13.5
Marathonbet · modell 28% · marked 26%
3.82 — +5.4% KONS +0% +7% 15
9/6
 ✓ +2.82u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: UNDER 11.5
10Bet · modell 54% · marked 57%
1.77 — -5.9% PIN +1% -5% 15
9/6
 ✗ -1.00u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: UNDER 9.5
Unibet · modell 33% · marked 37%
2.70 — -1.3% PIN +0% -11% 15
9/6
 ✗ -1.00u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: OVER 11.0
1xbet · modell 46% · marked 47%
2.08 — +8.7% SPREAD +8% +7% 15
9/6
 ✓ +1.08u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: OVER 10.0
1xbet · modell 57% · marked 57%
1.66 — +5.4% SPREAD +5% +4% 15
9/6
 ✓ +0.66u
08-14
FT
 Rosenborg – Viking Totalt: OVER 10.5
1xbet · modell 57% · marked 57%
1.89 — +8.0% SPREAD +8% +7% 15
9/6
 ✓ +0.89u
08-09
FT
 Lillestrøm – Rosenborg Totalt: UNDER 10.5
Unibet · modell 55% · marked 9%
10.50 10.50 +0.0% SPREAD -6% +474% 14
8/6
 ✗ -1.00u
08-09
FT
 Lillestrøm – Rosenborg Totalt: UNDER 11.5
Unibet · modell 64% · marked 19%
4.80 4.80 +0.0% SPREAD -9% +209% 14
8/6
 ✗ -1.00u
08-09
FT
 Lillestrøm – Rosenborg Totalt: UNDER 12.5
Unibet · modell 73% · marked 32%
2.85 2.85 +0.0% SPREAD -8% +107% 14
8/6
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Vålerenga – Bodø / Glimt Totalt: OVER 12.0
1xbet · modell 38% · marked 34%
2.90 — +8.6% SPREAD +8% +19% 16
8/8
 ✓ +1.90u
08-08
FT
 Vålerenga – Bodø / Glimt Totalt: UNDER 13.5
Unibet · modell 71% · marked 79%
1.27 — +0.2% SPREAD +0% -9% 16
8/8
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Viking – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: UNDER 8.5
1xbet · modell 20% · marked 25%
4.29 — +8.4% SPREAD +8% -12% 19
11/8
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Viking – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: UNDER 9.5
1xbet · modell 29% · marked 37%
2.94 — +8.3% SPREAD +8% -13% 19
11/8
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Viking – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: UNDER 10.0
1xbet · modell 29% · marked 35%
2.64 — +3.3% SPREAD +3% -12% 19
11/8
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Viking – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: UNDER 11.0
1xbet · modell 39% · marked 46%
2.00 — +2.4% SPREAD +2% -11% 19
11/8
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Viking – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: UNDER 10.5
1xbet · modell 39% · marked 46%
2.22 — +1.9% SPREAD +2% -12% 19
11/8
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Viking – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: UNDER 12.0
1xbet · modell 50% · marked 56%
1.61 — +0.4% SPREAD +0% -10% 19
11/8
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Start – Fredrikstad Totalt: OVER 13.5
1xbet · modell 16% · marked 19%
5.75 — +10.2% SPREAD +10% -6% 10
6/4
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Start – Fredrikstad Totalt: UNDER 6.5
Marathonbet · modell 21% · marked 16%
6.35 — +3.3% SPREAD +3% +34% 10
6/4
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Start – Fredrikstad Totalt: OVER 12.5
1xbet · modell 22% · marked 26%
3.88 — +0.3% SPREAD +0% -13% 10
6/4
 ✗ -1.00u
08-08
FT
 Start – Fredrikstad Totalt: OVER 11.0
1xbet · modell 30% · marked 37%
2.50 — +0.2% SPREAD +0% -16% 10
6/4
 ✗ -1.00u
08-07
FT
 Sandefjord – KFUM Totalt: OVER 13.5
Marathonbet · modell 20% · marked 24%
4.50 — +9.2% SPREAD +9% -8% 11
5/6
 ✗ -1.00u
08-02
FT
 Molde – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: UNDER 11.5
Unibet · modell 56% · marked 63%
1.61 — +1.7% SPREAD +2% -10% 9
5/4
 ✓ +0.61u
08-02
FT
 Molde – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: UNDER 9.5
Unibet · modell 35% · marked 41%
2.45 — +1.3% SPREAD +1% -14% 9
5/4
 ✓ +1.45u
08-02
FT
 Molde – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: UNDER 13.5
Unibet · modell 74% · marked 81%
1.25 — +0.7% SPREAD +1% -8% 9
5/4
 ✓ +0.25u
08-02
FT
 Molde – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: UNDER 10.5
Unibet · modell 46% · marked 51%
1.95 — +0.0% SPREAD +0% -11% 9
5/4
 ✓ +0.95u
08-02
FT
 Brann – Rosenborg Totalt: OVER 13.5
Marathonbet · modell 27% · marked 27%
3.74 — +1.5% SPREAD +1% +2% 17
5/12
 ✓ +2.74u
07-27
FT
 Rosenborg – Fredrikstad Totalt: OVER 13.5
Marathonbet · modell 22% · marked 23%
4.50 — +4.5% SPREAD +5% -1% 13
10/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-27
FT
 Rosenborg – Fredrikstad Totalt: UNDER 10.5
Unibet · modell 52% · marked 51%
1.97 — +1.4% SPREAD +1% +2% 13
10/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-27
FT
 Rosenborg – Fredrikstad Totalt: UNDER 11.5
Unibet · modell 62% · marked 62%
1.63 — +1.3% SPREAD +1% +1% 13
10/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-27
FT
 Rosenborg – Fredrikstad Totalt: UNDER 9.5
Unibet · modell 41% · marked 41%
2.48 — +0.6% SPREAD +1% +3% 13
10/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sarpsborg 08 – HamKam Totalt: OVER 13.5
1xbet · modell 26% · marked 23%
4.55 — +6.1% SPREAD +6% +17% 7
4/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sarpsborg 08 – HamKam Totalt: OVER 12.0
1xbet · modell 34% · marked 33%
2.90 — +5.3% SPREAD +5% +8% 7
4/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sarpsborg 08 – HamKam Totalt: OVER 10.5
1xbet · modell 54% · marked 53%
1.97 — +4.5% SPREAD +4% +6% 7
4/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sarpsborg 08 – HamKam Totalt: OVER 12.5
1xbet · modell 34% · marked 32%
3.21 — +2.6% SPREAD +3% +9% 7
4/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sarpsborg 08 – HamKam Totalt: OVER 11.5
1xbet · modell 43% · marked 43%
2.40 — +2.2% SPREAD +2% +4% 7
4/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sarpsborg 08 – HamKam Totalt: OVER 11.0
1xbet · modell 43% · marked 43%
2.14 — +1.6% SPREAD +1% +3% 7
4/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sarpsborg 08 – HamKam Totalt: OVER 10.0
1xbet · modell 54% · marked 53%
1.70 — +1.2% SPREAD +1% +1% 7
4/3
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sandefjord – Bodø / Glimt Totalt: OVER 13.5
1xbet · modell 29% · marked 23%
4.55 — +5.3% SPREAD +5% +31% 8
2/6
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sandefjord – Bodø / Glimt Totalt: OVER 10.5
1xbet · modell 58% · marked 52%
1.97 — +2.9% SPREAD +3% +14% 8
2/6
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sandefjord – Bodø / Glimt Totalt: OVER 11.5
1xbet · modell 47% · marked 42%
2.40 — +1.3% SPREAD +1% +14% 8
2/6
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Sandefjord – Bodø / Glimt Totalt: OVER 11.0
1xbet · modell 47% · marked 42%
2.14 — +0.5% SPREAD +0% +12% 8
2/6
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 KFUM – Molde Totalt: OVER 12.5
1xbet · modell 24% · marked 25%
4.03 — +1.8% SPREAD +2% -4% 12
3/9
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Aalesund – Viking Totalt: OVER 13.5
1xbet · modell 28% · marked 27%
4.02 — +8.8% SPREAD +9% +14% 14
4/10
 ✓ +3.02u
07-26
FT
 Aalesund – Viking Totalt: OVER 12.5
1xbet · modell 37% · marked 36%
2.90 — +4.1% SPREAD +4% +8% 14
4/10
 ✓ +1.90u
07-26
FT
 Aalesund – Viking Totalt: UNDER 9.5
Marathonbet · modell 33% · marked 37%
2.79 — +2.3% SPREAD +2% -9% 14
4/10
 ✗ -1.00u
07-26
FT
 Aalesund – Viking Totalt: OVER 12.0
1xbet · modell 37% · marked 35%
2.62 — +0.6% SPREAD +0% +7% 14
4/10
 ✓ +1.62u
07-26
FT
 Aalesund – Viking Totalt: UNDER 10.5
Unibet · modell 43% · marked 47%
2.15 — +0.1% SPREAD +0% -8% 14
4/10
 ✗ -1.00u
07-25
FT
 Kristiansund – Start Totalt: UNDER 6.5
Marathonbet · modell 21% · marked 16%
6.50 — +3.5% SPREAD +3% +39% 9
3/6
 ✗ -1.00u
07-22
FT
 Lillestrøm – Viking Totalt: OVER 10.5
1xbet · modell 45% · marked 51%
1.97 — +1.4% SPREAD +1% -12% 12
3/9
 ✓ +0.97u
07-22
FT
 Lillestrøm – Viking Totalt: UNDER 12.5
Unibet · modell 73% · marked 70%
1.44 — +0.2% SPREAD +0% +5% 12
3/9
 ✓ +0.44u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: OVER 14.5
1xbet · modell 20% · marked 22%
6.45 — +40.0% SPREAD +40% +28% 11
10/1
 ✗ -1.00u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: OVER 13.5
1xbet · modell 27% · marked 28%
4.33 — +19.5% SPREAD +19% +17% 11
10/1
 ✗ -1.00u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: OVER 12.0
1xbet · modell 36% · marked 36%
2.78 — +10.8% SPREAD +10% +8% 11
10/1
 ✗ -1.00u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: OVER 11.5
1xbet · modell 45% · marked 47%
2.32 — +9.0% SPREAD +9% +5% 11
10/1
 ✗ -1.00u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: OVER 10.5
1xbet · modell 55% · marked 57%
1.89 — +8.3% SPREAD +8% +5% 11
10/1
 ✓ +0.89u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: OVER 11.0
1xbet · modell 45% · marked 47%
2.08 — +8.9% SPREAD +8% +4% 11
10/1
 PUSH 0.00u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: UNDER 8.5
Marathonbet · modell 25% · marked 27%
3.92 — +6.4% SPREAD +6% -3% 11
10/1
 ✗ -1.00u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: OVER 10.0
1xbet · modell 55% · marked 58%
1.66 — +6.7% SPREAD +6% +2% 11
10/1
 ✓ +0.66u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: OVER 12.5
1xbet · modell 36% · marked 34%
3.08 — +4.2% SPREAD +4% +9% 11
10/1
 ✗ -1.00u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: UNDER 14.5
Unibet · modell 80% · marked 78%
1.29 — +1.0% SPREAD +1% +3% 11
10/1
 ✓ +0.29u
07-22
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – HamKam Totalt: UNDER 9.5
Marathonbet · modell 34% · marked 36%
2.79 — +0.4% SPREAD +0% -4% 11
10/1
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 HamKam – Tromsø Totalt: OVER 12.5
1xbet · modell 22% · marked 24%
4.57 — +10.1% SPREAD +10% +1% 6
1/5
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 HamKam – Tromsø Totalt: OVER 11.0
1xbet · modell 29% · marked 34%
2.85 — +6.7% SPREAD +6% -7% 6
1/5
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 HamKam – Tromsø Totalt: OVER 11.5
1xbet · modell 29% · marked 33%
3.18 — +5.2% SPREAD +5% -6% 6
1/5
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 HamKam – Tromsø Totalt: OVER 10.5
1xbet · modell 38% · marked 43%
2.35 — +0.0% SPREAD +0% -10% 6
1/5
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Lillestrøm – KFUM Totalt: OVER 12.5
1xbet · modell 19% · marked 26%
4.11 — +6.2% SPREAD +6% -22% 9
5/4
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Lillestrøm – KFUM Totalt: OVER 13.5
1xbet · modell 14% · marked 17%
6.17 — +3.9% SPREAD +4% -15% 9
5/4
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Lillestrøm – KFUM Totalt: OVER 11.5
1xbet · modell 26% · marked 35%
2.92 — +2.2% SPREAD +2% -25% 9
5/4
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Kristiansund – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: OVER 10.5
1xbet · modell 48% · marked 51%
2.01 — +2.3% SPREAD +2% -4% 11
4/7
 ✓ +1.01u
07-18
FT
 Kristiansund – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: OVER 11.5
1xbet · modell 38% · marked 41%
2.48 — +1.9% SPREAD +2% -5% 11
4/7
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Kristiansund – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: OVER 12.5
1xbet · modell 29% · marked 30%
3.34 — +1.7% SPREAD +2% -2% 11
4/7
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Kristiansund – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: OVER 11.0
1xbet · modell 38% · marked 41%
2.22 — +0.7% SPREAD +1% -5% 11
4/7
 PUSH 0.00u
07-18
FT
 Kristiansund – Sarpsborg 08 Totalt: OVER 13.5
1xbet · modell 22% · marked 21%
4.80 — +0.3% SPREAD +0% +5% 11
4/7
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Viking – Sandefjord Totalt: OVER 10.5
10Bet · modell 62% · marked 61%
1.70 — +3.4% SPREAD +3% +6% 11
6/5
 ✓ +0.70u
07-18
FT
 Viking – Sandefjord Totalt: UNDER 7.5
Marathonbet · modell 12% · marked 16%
6.55 — +1.6% SPREAD +2% -21% 11
6/5
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Viking – Sandefjord Totalt: OVER 11.5
1xbet · modell 52% · marked 50%
2.01 — +0.5% SPREAD +0% +4% 11
6/5
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Molde – Brann Totalt: OVER 11.5
1xbet · modell 40% · marked 42%
2.61 — +8.5% SPREAD +8% +3% 10
6/4
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Molde – Brann Totalt: OVER 11.0
1xbet · modell 40% · marked 42%
2.34 — +8.4% SPREAD +8% +2% 10
6/4
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Molde – Brann Totalt: OVER 10.5
1xbet · modell 49% · marked 52%
2.04 — +5.5% SPREAD +6% +1% 10
6/4
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Molde – Brann Totalt: OVER 12.5
1xbet · modell 31% · marked 29%
3.57 — +4.8% SPREAD +5% +9% 10
6/4
 ✗ -1.00u
07-18
FT
 Molde – Brann Totalt: OVER 10.0
1xbet · modell 49% · marked 52%
1.81 — +4.6% SPREAD +4% -0% 10
6/4
 PUSH 0.00u
07-18
FT
 Molde – Brann Totalt: OVER 9.5
1xbet · modell 60% · marked 62%
1.65 — +2.7% SPREAD +3% -1% 10
6/4
 ✓ +0.65u
07-18
FT
 Molde – Brann Totalt: OVER 13.5
1xbet · modell 23% · marked 20%
5.20 — +2.3% SPREAD +2% +19% 10
6/4
 ✗ -1.00u
07-17
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – Fredrikstad Totalt: OVER 13.5
1xbet · modell 24% · marked 19%
5.37 — +1.6% SPREAD +2% +29% 12
12/0
 ✗ -1.00u
07-17
FT
 Bodø / Glimt – Fredrikstad Totalt: UNDER 9.5
Unibet · modell 38% · marked 44%
2.28 — +0.4% SPREAD +0% -13% 12
12/0
 ✗ -1.00u
07-16
FT
 Vålerenga – Aalesund Totalt: OVER 14.5
1xbet · modell 24% · marked 21%
5.16 — +7.2% SPREAD +7% +26% 15
8/7
 ✓ +4.16u
07-16
FT
 Vålerenga – Aalesund Totalt: OVER 13.5
1xbet · modell 33% · marked 29%
3.59 — +3.4% SPREAD +3% +17% 15
8/7
 ✓ +2.59u